how to bet on who wins the super bowl
How to Bet on Who Wins the Super Bowl
No sporting event is more synonymous with betting than the Super Bowl․ Over the years, there have been several memorable and seemingly improbable outcomes in the NFL’s championship game, and there is no shortage of Super Bowl odds available this year, too․
While we will advise against making your Super Bowl predictions based solely on betting history, it may at least be worth considering some of the Super Bowl trends found in this article from a broad perspective․
Here’s a look at the betting history of the Super Bowl after the Kansas City Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58 and the best NFL picks over the years․
Understanding Super Bowl Odds
Super Bowl odds are a numerical representation of the likelihood of a particular outcome occurring in the Super Bowl, as determined by bookmakers․ These odds are used to calculate potential payouts for different bets and can fluctuate based on various factors, including team performance, player injuries, and public betting trends․
Here are the three main types of Super Bowl odds you’ll encounter⁚
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Moneyline Odds
Moneyline odds are the most straightforward type of Super Bowl odds․ They represent the odds of a particular team winning the game outright, regardless of the point spread․ A minus sign (-) indicates the favorite, while a plus sign (+) indicates the underdog․ For example⁚
- Kansas City Chiefs -150
- Philadelphia Eagles +130
In this scenario, the Chiefs are the favorites to win the Super Bowl․ A $150 bet on the Chiefs would return a profit of $100 if they win, while a $100 bet on the Eagles would return a profit of $130 if they pull off the upset․
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Point Spread Odds
Point spread odds, also known as the “spread” or “handicap,” are designed to level the playing field by giving the underdog a virtual head start․ The favorite is assigned a negative point spread, while the underdog is assigned a positive point spread․ For example⁚
- Kansas City Chiefs -3․5 (-110)
- Philadelphia Eagles +3․5 (-110)
In this case, the Chiefs are favored by 3․5 points․ To win a bet on the Chiefs٫ they would need to win the game by four points or more․ Conversely٫ a bet on the Eagles would win if they either win the game outright or lose by three points or fewer․ The odds next to the point spread (-110) indicate the amount you need to wager to win $100․
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Over/Under Odds
Over/under odds, also known as the “total,” refer to the combined number of points that both teams are expected to score in the Super Bowl․ Bookmakers set a projected total, and bettors can wager on whether the actual combined score will be over or under that number․ For example⁚
- Over 50․5 points (-110)
- Under 50․5 points (-110)
If you bet the over, you’re predicting that the two teams will combine to score more than 50․5 points․ If you bet the under٫ you’re predicting that they’ll score fewer than 50․5 points․
Understanding these different types of Super Bowl odds is essential for making informed betting decisions․ By familiarizing yourself with how to read and interpret these odds, you can increase your chances of placing successful wagers and potentially profiting from the excitement of the Super Bowl․
Types of Super Bowl Bets
The Super Bowl is a betting extravaganza, offering a smorgasbord of wagering options beyond simply picking the winner․ From predicting the coin toss to the final score, here’s a rundown of popular Super Bowl bet types⁚
1․ Moneyline Bets⁚
The most straightforward wager, you’re simply betting on which team will win the Super Bowl, regardless of the margin of victory․
2․ Point Spread Bets⁚
This bet levels the playing field by giving the underdog a virtual head start (positive points) and taking points away from the favorite (negative points)․ You win if your chosen team covers the spread․
3․ Over/Under Bets⁚
Also known as the “total,” this bet involves predicting whether the combined score of both teams will be over or under a number set by the bookmaker․
4․ Prop Bets⁚
The fun and often wacky side of Super Bowl betting, prop bets cover a wide range of occurrences within the game, such as⁚
- Player Props⁚ Will Patrick Mahomes throw for over/under 300 yards?
- Game Props⁚ Will the first score be a touchdown or a field goal?
- Novelty Props⁚ What color will the Gatorade shower be?
5․ Futures Bets⁚
Placed before the season even begins, futures bets involve predicting long-term outcomes like⁚
- Which team will win the Super Bowl?
- Which player will be the Super Bowl MVP?
6․ Live Betting⁚
As the game unfolds, live betting allows you to place wagers on updated odds that reflect the current game situation, adding an extra layer of excitement and potential for strategic betting․
7․ Parlays⁚
A parlay combines multiple bets (e․g․, point spread, moneyline, prop bet) into a single wager․ While riskier, the potential payout is significantly higher if all your selections are correct․
This diverse range of Super Bowl bets caters to all types of bettors, from casual fans seeking a fun wager to seasoned strategists looking for an edge․ Remember to gamble responsibly and choose bets that align with your knowledge and risk tolerance․
Super Bowl Betting History and Trends
Delving into the annals of Super Bowl betting reveals intriguing patterns and historical nuggets that can inform, but not dictate, your wagering strategy․ Let’s explore some notable trends⁚
1․ Underdog Uprising⁚
While favorites often dominate regular season narratives, recent Super Bowls have witnessed a surge in underdog triumphs․ Over the past 15 Super Bowls, the underdog has emerged victorious nine times, defying pre-game predictions and rewarding savvy bettors․
2․ The Tightening Spread⁚
Gone are the days of lopsided Super Bowl blowouts․ Recent matchups have been remarkably close, with six out of the last 15 Super Bowls decided by a field goal or less․ This trend emphasizes the importance of exploring alternative bets beyond the point spread, such as the moneyline or over/under․
3․ AFC’s Recent Dominance⁚
The AFC has emerged as the dominant conference in recent Super Bowls, winning four of the last five matchups․ This trend suggests that teams like the Chiefs, Bengals, and Bills might be worth considering for future Super Bowl bets․
4․ Live Betting Opportunities⁚
Super Bowl LVII exemplified the excitement and potential profitability of live betting․ The Kansas City Chiefs, trailing for a significant portion of the game, mounted a remarkable comeback, providing ample opportunities for live bettors to capitalize on fluctuating odds․
5․ Historical Upsets⁚
From Joe Namath’s legendary guarantee in Super Bowl III to the New York Giants’ upset over the undefeated New England Patriots in Super Bowl XLII, Super Bowl history is replete with improbable outcomes that remind us that anything can happen on game day․
While past trends offer valuable insights, remember that each Super Bowl is a unique event influenced by a myriad of factors․ Conduct thorough research, consider team form, coaching matchups, and stay informed about injuries and late-breaking news to make the most informed Super Bowl bets․
Factors to Consider When Betting
Betting on the Super Bowl extends beyond simply picking a team you believe will win․ A strategic approach involves careful consideration of various factors that can influence the outcome of the game․ Here are some key aspects to analyze⁚
Team Form and Momentum⁚
Evaluate how teams are performing leading into the Super Bowl․ Have they been on a winning streak, displaying strong offensive and defensive capabilities? Conversely, are they plagued by injuries or inconsistent performances? Recent form is often indicative of a team’s mindset and preparedness for the biggest game of the season․
Quarterback Matchup⁚
The quarterback matchup often takes center stage in Super Bowl analysis․ Consider the experience, leadership, and recent performances of both quarterbacks․ Are they known for thriving under pressure or prone to making crucial mistakes? A quarterback’s performance can significantly impact the game’s trajectory․
Coaching Prowess⁚
Super Bowls often become tactical battles between coaching staffs․ Analyze the head coaches’ track records, play-calling tendencies, and ability to make in-game adjustments․ A well-coached team can often overcome talent disparities and exploit opponent weaknesses․
Injury Report⁚
Stay informed about player injuries leading up to the game․ Key injuries, especially to star players, can significantly alter a team’s chances․ Monitor injury reports and analyze how potential absences might impact different areas of the game․
Historical Trends⁚
While past results don’t guarantee future outcomes, historical trends can provide valuable insights․ Consider factors such as previous Super Bowl experience, head-to-head records, and how teams have performed against specific opponents’ playing styles․
By thoroughly analyzing these factors and integrating your findings with an understanding of odds and betting markets, you can make more informed and strategic Super Bowl bets․ Remember that thorough research and careful consideration are crucial for maximizing your chances of success․